Illiana Christian
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #51
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #13
Crown Point Regional Rank #3
Hebron Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 12th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Greater South Shore Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/14 8/20 8/27 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 585 687 647 636 673 849 762 823 736 560
Team Adjusted Rating 545 647 636 673 725 676 823 736 560
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Greater South Shore Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
74  Ella Olthof 10 19:35 19:48 20:33 20:16 19:44 19:57 19:40 19:48 20:37 20:06 19:24 19:42
136  Avery Olthof 11 20:00 19:37 20:15 20:12 20:11 20:32 20:23 20:30 20:16 20:03 19:49
397  Faith VanRyn 12 21:11 22:01 20:54 20:56 21:03 21:01 22:01 21:22 21:42 21:40 20:59
649  Alexandra Vis 12 21:52 20:57 20:38 20:55 21:19 21:25 22:51 22:41 22:05
869  Alexa Mercuri 10 22:25 24:09 23:43 23:54 23:36 23:17 23:59 23:17 22:13
Aliza Nelson 12 24:12 23:38 25:34 24:33 24:21 24:28 23:56 23:19 24:00 23:57 24:58
Amelia Yonkman 10 25:34 27:39 27:11 27:01 26:04 25:24 26:30 25:01 26:58 26:02
Nora Filler 11 27:17 26:47 27:12 26:27 27:03 30:19 27:24




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.4% 21.9 492 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 11.4 278 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.5 4.1 10.1 26.0 45.6 10.6 1.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.0 75 0.1 1.8 98.0 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 46 0.8 99.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ella Olthof 71.3% 66.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 71.2% 71.3%
Avery Olthof 12.7% 93.7 12.4% 12.7%
Faith VanRyn 0.4% 162.0 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Vis 0.4% 186.0 0.0% 0.0%
Alexa Mercuri 0.4% 196.7 0.0% 0.0%
Aliza Nelson 0.4% 204.7 0.0% 0.0%
Amelia Yonkman 0.4% 207.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ella Olthof 100% 13.5 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.8 3.7 4.8 5.9 6.8 7.0 7.2 6.8 6.9 6.6 5.3 5.2 4.9 4.1 3.5 2.7 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.3 100.0%
Avery Olthof 100% 26.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 2.2 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.1 3.9 3.8 4.1 3.8 4.0 4.3 100.0%
Faith VanRyn 100% 78.8 100.0%
Alexandra Vis 100% 112.7 99.9%
Alexa Mercuri 100% 135.9 84.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ella Olthof 100% 1.3 37.3 47.3 10.0 3.5 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Avery Olthof 100% 3.3 1.0 7.8 35.5 19.7 14.3 9.4 5.4 3.0 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Faith VanRyn 100% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.6 3.0 5.1 8.6 12.7 15.9 16.0 12.6 9.4 6.0 3.7 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Alexandra Vis 100% 22.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.4 5.5 7.9 10.4 11.0 11.5 10.8 10.1 100.0%
Alexa Mercuri 100% 31.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 3.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ella Olthof 1.2 38.4 55.9 5.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Avery Olthof 2.6 1.1 9.5 70.0 11.8 4.5 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0
Faith VanRyn 9.1 0.6 1.7 3.2 6.4 12.5 22.4 31.7 15.3 5.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Alexandra Vis 12.9 0.0 0.3 1.5 7.0 17.7 26.1 25.7 10.3 5.3 3.0 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alexa Mercuri 17.6 0.0 0.4 1.3 4.5 12.4 12.9 12.2 10.6 9.5 8.8 6.9 6.0 4.3 3.8 2.5